Amiram Hayardeny’s BigMouth

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Archive for the ‘War’ Category

Well Done Jimmy!

Posted by admin on Apr-20-08

Nobel Prize winner and former President of the United States of America, Jimmy Carter, went to visit the grave site of another Nobel Laureate, the late Yasser Arafat. He then went to pursue conversations with worldwide recognized arch-terrorists.

Young Americans are spilling their blood in an effort to curb terrorism. Young Israelis are being killed in an effort to protect civilians being bombed daily by Carter’s new pals. Billions of dollars lost daily in an effort (futile) to accomplish some peace in this region.

Have we lost our minds?

And out of curiosity.  Wouldn’t you think that a multitude of Nobel Peace Prize winners in the region suggests a certain level of peace?  Well, here’s the story.  Menachem Begin, a Nobel Peace Prize Winner died of broken heart for sacrificing young Israeli soldiers in a war that achieved absolutely nothing.  Anwar Al Sadat, a Nobel Peace Prize winner was murdered in Egypt.  Yitzhak Rabin, a Nobel Peace Prize winner, was murdered in 1995 while attending a peace rally in Tel Aviv.  Yasser Arafat, a Nobel Peace Prize winner never gave up terrorism as a legitimate means for accomplishing his political agenda (Carter’s talks with Hamas proves him right).  Jimmy Carter, a Nobel Peace Prize winner, talks to terrorists, shakes their blood red hands, and kisses their cheeks.  Shimon Peres, a Nobel Peace Prize winner, the president of the State of Israel, is, well, I’m not sure what he is or does, but he’s still here with us.

With so many Nobel Laureates, wouldn’t you expect some peace in the middle east?  I see none.  And by the way, if you think that the UN is a peaceful organization, thank again.  Terrorists thrive under UN supervision.  Every day of the week.

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Fighting an Already Lost War Part II

Posted by admin on Apr-4-08

I don’t usually write sequel posts. But this time I felt that one was in order. Two issues needed further explanation in my mind: what does it mean to “win a war”, and what does the GDP comparison have to do with anything. Being me, I will probably write some more views following the two topics.

What does it mean to win a war. What’s victory? I propose that there isn’t one definition, nor is there agreement on the definitions. Here’s my interpretation. To permanently drive the enemy away from its claims for land or riches. If you read carefully, the word permanently is key. Lets take Israel for example. Israel, despite its willingness to pay heftily for the right to be where it always has been (there was a continuous Jewish-Israeli settlement in most parts of Israel for thousands of years), was unsuccessful in driving the enemy’s claim for it’s entire territory. It did win a couple of battles over the years, but it most certainly didn’t win the war. I contend that it simply can’t. The reason is that the claims will remain for the foreseeable future, possibly indefinitely. Demographics and perseverance may prevail eventually. Does Israel seem to be a strong country? Indeed. Does it have the most powerful military in the Middle East? Most certainly. Is it able to use this powerful army to eliminate its enemies’ claim for land and riches? I think not. Is there a victor in this conflict? I can’t see it. Is there a loser? I see one at least. Possibly more. Two neighboring peoples sacrificing their best, brightest and youngest, raising generations upon hatred, terror, suicide. Victory? Don’t think so.

What does the GDP have to do with all this? Simple. The more you have, the least you want to sacrifice, the more you have to lose. For Israelis (and Americans) to go back to basics (i.e. bread, cheese and an occasional olive) is unthinkable, unacceptable, unimaginable. For Israel’s neighbors that’s not a long way at all. Israel is not doing so badly. But is it up to its potential? No way! A million Israelis have left the country since it was established in 1948. Many of them are in the US, inventing stuff. All those guys could have been placing Israel at the top of the game from a high tech viewpoint. (indeed, you may claim that Israel is at the top of the game, I contend it could have been even more). Israel spends on security relative to GDP more than any other country in the world. Spent on education and medicine, even art, it could have been heaven on earth. Instead, it’s losing its edge on education and science. Sorry to raise the obvious question again: who’s winning???

The US is in a similar situation. The US spends $1B on each Stealth Bomber. Who knows how many billions on an aircraft carrier. What if all this money was spent on public medicine for example? Wouldn’t it cover all those who are middle class, but work in jobs without medical insurance, but make too much to be eligible for Medicaid? Maybe allow a few more thousand of less privileged people to get college education? Who’s winning? A few more years in Iraq will bring America to its knees, while for the Afghans as well as the Iraqis, it will mean a few more years of bread, cheese and an occasional olive. And if the objective is indeed to have a democracy in Afghanistan and Iraq, then I’m willing to bet, a loser will be identified, soon. Take a guess. Who would that loser be?

Fighting an Already Lost War?

Posted by admin on Apr-4-08

When your country or your people are involved in a war you have a few choices. You volunteer for military service, you “support our troops”, you hope, you “trust our leadership”, you hate the enemy, you love your country, yellow ribbons, the works… But what if you wake up one morning and you realize that your country is involved in a hopeless war? What if you get a distinct feeling that the “leadership” is as clueless as you are? That they really have no idea what we’re fighting for, what the objective is, how do we pay for it, what the metrics of success are, and most importantly, what is the exit strategy. And you know, deep in your heart, that it’s unimportant who you vote for, you’ll most likely get more of the same.

Worst of all, what if you start getting the impression that the war was already lost, and that we’re all going through the motions of getting budgets, sending troops, pretending that we have “allies” (although it’s quite obvious that we, Americans, are putting up most funds, lives and efforts on the line) and an occasional, very local, victory.

Why have we lost? Simple: we have sacrificed our soldiers, our money, and our way of life. We have only our land to lose, and I’m not completely sure that the land won’t be next. How is that?

Four thousand soldiers dead. Five years. No end in sight.

Half a billion dollars per day for the war in Iraq. Total cost of over a half a trillion dollars, and counting. Probably less in Afghanistan, but still. Our “leadership” at the Pentagon estimated the cost to be fifty billion dollars. Imagine that. What does this have to do with losing the war? Again, simple: with the money we’re throwing away in Iraq, we could have better education, stronger economy (at least we could fix the sub-prime crisis), better access to medical services, better infrastructure. Are we losing or what?

We are getting humiliated every day at the airport, to avoid a second September 11. Do we feel safe? I think not. So we strip, we board airplanes with small little containers of liquid, in transparent plastic bags, to accomplish what? Not sure. (The one positive thing that came out of this is employment for hundreds of thousands of illiterate losers, who no specialize in opening bags and directing crowds that have no other way to go).

And for what? So Iraqis have a democracy? Who are we kidding? Imagine that: the Sunni Democratic Militia, vs. the Shiite Republican Forces running for places in the Parliament? Elections in Iraq with no violence? When hell freezes over.

And why is it? Simple still. We never had a good idea of who our enemies are. We, Americans, always think that problems are defined in our terms, and therefore the solutions are defined in our terms as well. But truth is, neither the problems nor the solutions are defined in our terms. The one and only decisive American victory in the battlefield was in Second World War, when the solution was “out of the box”. In all subsequent engagements, Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, the outcome was and still is not very encouraging.

Another country that’s lost the long term battle but unfortunately doesn’t know it yet, is Israel. Israel has been investing its money, young men, and its future in fighting a hopeless war. War against a culture it really doesn’t understand and can’t relate to. Pay attention: Israel has a GDP per capita of $26,200 per year. Compare to $4,200 for Egypt, $5,500 for Lebanon, $4,000 for Syria and $2,900 for Iraq. At such high GDP, Israel has complex government systems, transportation, education, communication and industry. In short: losing doesn’t have to be in the battlefield. It can be in the classroom. It can be on the roads, at the hospitals. And guess what. It’s happening already. Education, medicine, services are going down. Good people are fleeing. Why sacrifice your life and your children for an endless, hopeless war? And mind you, the neighbors? They do just fine on pitta bread and hummous. Who’s winning here?

Same with Iraq and Afghanistan. America is bleeding literally and figuratively speaking, and the Iraqis and the Afghans are “business as usual”. The American financial system is in trouble, people are losing their homes. Who’s winning here?

And is there hope? I don’t see it yet. For as long as the world looks at some terrorists as “freedom fighters”, “guerrilla warriors”. For as long as the world thinks (mistakenly) that it’s buying some peace and quiet by “respecting” different cultures. For as long as terrorism is rewarded with states, rights, money. For as long as we’re not united against any shape or form of terrorism, we have no hope. No matter how justifiable the cause is, terrorism should never be considered as the means to accomplish it. Never. Killing women and children, on purpose, taking hostages, keeping millions of people in fear for their lives, and their livelihoods, is not acceptable as a form of fighting.

Are we there yet? Not even close…

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