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דברתי והתכתבתי עם לא מעט ישראלים בחודשים האחרונים. לפיכך לא ממש הופתעתי מהמחאה החברתית שהופיעה בשבועות האחרונים. כן הופתעתי מהעוצמה שלה – מאות אלפי אנשים שעוזבים את הכל ויוצאים לרחובות (פשוטו כמשמעו עוברים להתגורר במאהלים). הופתעתי מהרכב המחאה – לא עוד מעוטי יכולת, משפחות ברוכות ילדים, לא עוד נזקקי סעד בלבד. הפעם חלק הארי של המחאה היו אנשי מעמד הביניים השחוק – אנשים משכילים בעלי הכנסה סבירה, אנשים שבכל קנה מידה – הצליחו. הופתעתי מתגובת הממשלה- “הפגנת הסושי ודירות הפאר”, לכאורה הממשלה מצאה לנכון להצהיר שאנשי המאבק לא נלחמים על הבסיס אלא על מותרות
האמת ניתנת להאמר, משפחתי ואני לא נכחנו במחאה, לא עברנו לאוהלים. מכיוון שאנחנו מתגוררים בביז’ינג כבר מספר חודשים, זה לא ממש אפשרי. אבל השאלה הנשאלת, האם היינו עוברים לאוהל אם היינו גרים עדיין בבנימינה? שאלה היפוטטית כמובן, משום שקל יהיה לאמר: “כן, בודאי שהיינו”, אבל כנראה שלעולם לא נדע. אפשר להוסיף אמנם שחיפשנו בית בבנימינה במהלך השנה האחרונה וראינו במו עיננו את המחירים עולים בצורה מטורפת. ראינו את אותם בתים לעיתים בנקודות זמן שונות, ולפחות בשתי דוגמאות היינו במו”מ על בתים שמחיריהם עלו ב 20% במהלך פחות משנה אחת
אבל דורית ואני יודעים בודאות מספר דברים
מצבו של המעמד הבינוני נשחק והלך במהלך השנים. ואני מבקש מכל אלו שחושבים שלא, לשאול את עצמם: האם תוכלו לתמוך בילדים שלכם לפחות כמן שהוריכם תמכו בכם? אם אתם מאלו שגרים בבית שההורים קנו לו (או את רובו, או את חלקו), אם אתם מאלו שהסבים אוספים את ילדיכם מהגן או בית הספר ושומרים עליהם עד שתגיעו, אם אתם מאלו שמדי פעם הולכים עם אמא או אבא למסע קניות ולא משלמים אגורה למרות שמזמן עברתם את גיל שלושים, אם אתם הולכים לעשות “קניות” בארון של ההורים, אם אתם נוסעים לחופשה שנתית שההורים “מזמינים”, שאלו את עצמכם את השאלה הבאה: האם תוכלו לעשות את אותם דברים עבור ילדיכם? האם תוכלו להפסיק לעבוד כשנכדכם הראשון יוולד? האם אספתם מספיק חסכונות לחינוך, בריאות, מגורים, וחופשות לדור הבא? אם התשובה לשאלות חיובית – הרי שבבירור אינכם שיכים למאבק, אך אם עניתם חיובית לאחת מהשאלות ואתם קצת חרדים שלא תצליחו, הרי שחלקכם במאבק ברור
אך אם נוכחתם שהוריכם, שהיו שכירים כל שנותיהם, הגיעו להישגים כלכליים גדולים לאין ערוך משלכם, אם נוכחתם שלמרות שאינכם בזבזנים, אינכם צרכני מותרות, אתם אפילו חוסכים, מחזיקים במשרות לא רעות בכלל, שניכם מועסקים, ועובדים קשה (גם בערבים, גם בסופי שבוע), שאתם עייפים כל הזמן, ושהחרדה אופפת אותכם: “מה יהיה אם?”… הרי שמקומכם במאבק הזה
כי לידיעת כולנו: המחירים עולים, האיכות יורדת – החינוך בישראל עלוב, הורים החרדים לעתיד ילדיהם לא משאירים את חינוכם בידי מערכת החינוך בישראל, הם מסתמכים על מערכת גדלה והולכת ויקרה מאד של חינוך פרטי. מי שנותר מאחור לא מגיע רחוק כל כך. ההשקעה בתשתיות מגוכחת עד לא קיימת. צריך לחיות בביז’ינג כדי לראות מה זה השקעה בתשתיות. הרפואה קורסת – למרות מה שאומרים לכם: שלוש דקות אצל רופא משפחה בקופת חולים זו לא רפואה טובה. מסדרונות מלאים בבתי החולים עמוסים במתמחים שלא גומרים את החודש, זו לא רפואה טובה
המחירים עולים עד כדי גיחוך כמעט. למרביתכם אין למה להשוות, לי יש. אתם משלמים פי שלש מהאמריקאים על דלק (אותו דלק), ופי שתיים על רכב חדש (אותו רכב בדיוק נמרץ). אתם משלמים פי אלף מהאירופאים על חינוך (הם לא משלמים כלל, כולל אוניברסיטה) ומקבלים חינוך ירוד. אתם משלמים המון על רפואה ומקבלים קדחת. ואם אתם חושבים שזה בסדר – שייערב לכם
אגב, אתם משלמים המון על ביטחון. האם אתם חשים בטוחים? אם מישהוא יגנוב לכם את המכונית, האם אתם מאמינים שאי פעם תראו אותה שוב? אם רוקנו לכם את הבית, האם אתם חושבים שאי פעם תראו את הפריטים שוב? אולי, בחלום
האם אתם מאושרים? בטוחים? חושבים שעתיד ילדיכם יהיה טוב משלכם? אם כך אני מוריד את הכובע בפניכם ואומר: אל תעשו דבר, כנראה שהכל בסדר
האם זה מקרי שמחאת הקוטג’ שביתת הרופאים ומחאת יוקר הדיור קרו ביחד? אולי זה אינו צירוף מקרים
עוד שאלה: האם המדד מייצג את יוקר המחיה האמיתי? האם יתכן שהמדד מציג תמונה טובה מדי על מנת שהמעסיקים לא יצטרכו לשלם תוספת יוקר? לדעתי יש מצב
ועוד: כשאני הייתי צעיר, הורי אמרו וחזרו ואמרו: אם לא תלמד לא תוכל להתפרנס. לא נעים לציין אך אני מכיר לא מעט שלמדו, גם לתארים מתקדמים – גם רופאים ומהנדסים – וחלקם לא גומרים את החדש בלי עזרת ההורים. ואני לא מדבר על מותרות, אני מדבר על הבסיס
אז לאן הולכים מכאן?
למדינת ישראל יש תכנית, לכאורה. לא לשלום, לא לצדק חברתי, כן לאפליה, לא לחינוך, לא לרפואה, כן למלחמה, כן להתנחלויות, לא לתשתיות, לא לרווחה, כן לבורות, כן להגדלת הפערים החברתיים, כן לאתחלתא דגאולה, לא לדיור בהישג יד, כן לבית המקדש
רבים מדי מדברים על המשיח, על בית המקדש. אולי הם יודעים משהוא שאינני יודע. פעם חשבתי שאני יודע הכל. היום אני יודע שאינני יודע דבר

My previous post started a very interesting conversation about milk products (dairies in Israel are protected by import quotas, while price regulation is not practiced which in turn causes inflated prices). Obviously, this is a fact and should be corrected. But I must say one thing. Traveling around the world, I have found no milk products that even come close to Israeli milk products. The best yogurt, white cream cheese, cottage cheese, labane, sour cream, it’s absolutely the best in Israel. Somehow, I suspect that opening the market for import will not do the trick – import by sea is impractical due to short shelf life, and by air is simply too expensive. Regulation is the solution.
 NIS vs American Dollar 2006-2011
Trying to explain the discrepancy between the strong perception of the strong, very strong Israeli economy, and the demonstration in the streets is not easy. The currency is strong, in fact getting stronger against the American Dollar over the last five years (from $1.0 = NIS 4.4 in 2006 to $1.0 = NIS 3.4 in 2011). GDP is growing nicely and steadily. Real estate prices going up. Significantly. But even comparing cost of living with the only superpower on the planet, the United States of America reveals that Israel is significantly more expensive than the US. Check this out: cost of living in the USA vs cost of living in Israel. For those of us who are not lazy, take a few minutes and review the following. Don’t point out the obvious, just look at the trend: median monthly disposable income in Israel is lower, and cost of living is higher. In some cases, significantly higher. One particularly upsetting difference is the cost of a Volkswagen Golf 1.4. In the US the cost is roughly $21K, while in Israel the same car costs roughly $39K. The prices of gasoline is also infuriating: one litter of gasoline costs $1.96 in Israel, and $0.88 in the US.
 Israel GDP
To get some insights, you really may want to visit the following site: The Taub Center – For Social Policy Studies in Israel. The following studies may be of interest as well:
Fewer workers who work more – with a lower standard of living
The working Poor
The bottom line: people work more, for less, pay more taxes, more rent, more, more, more. There are populations who don’t take part in the workforce, in the mandatory military service, but they do take part in welfare and government. Plotting the trend going forward is, well, is not going anywhere good.
As I said many times before in many occasions, conversations and posts, the government style in Israel must change. Populations segments in Israel vote uniformly, and their representatives represent them extremely well in dividing the pie. Ultra Orthodox, Right Wingers, Right wing orthodox, Israeli Arabs, and the sinful coalition system is really destroying the country and it’s getting worse. Let’s assume for a second that there are fifteen political parties in Israel for a population of roughly 7 million people – roughly every half a million people have a political party. Using the same ratio, there should be six hundred political parties in the United States of America, and five times as many in China and India. Clearly this is not a good idea. The easy way to do it is to have an entry bar to the Knesset – the Israeli parliament of say 750K votes. But there’s a slight problem with that – no government will ever have enough votes to pass this law in the parliament.
Right after writing the last sentence, it hit me: a classic Catch 22. The right thing to do is to have less parties, but the parties who have to vote for it are the ones who will lose the most of the outcome. Clearly and unfortunately, there is no motivation for anyone, except maybe the largest four parties which account for most of the seats in the Knesset (Kadima 28 seats, Likud 27, Israel our Home 15, Labor 13) take a bold move and pass this law? Not a chance. They are all worried of the day after tomorrow – the price for voting for this law may be total annihilation. Not voting for it may bring the annihilation of the country. So what comes first? The country or the party? The people or the voters? The present or the future?
Your guess is as good as mine.

I have to admit that living out of the country and being my own worst critic, I find it somewhat unfair to write criticism about Israel. In addition, I always felt that dirty laundry should be washed and presented at home, rather than the web. But in contrast, from recent demonstrations revolutions, and protests around the world, I have learned that one should voice his or her opinions is whatever way they can. Whether demonstrating, writing, walking down the street with large signs. Being where I am, Beijing China, I can neither show up to a demonstration or carry a large sign. I can however, write. So I will wash some laundry here.
Israel is a Western country. It is a democracy, it is a developed country (official GDP per capita almost $30K, 46th in the world), with a strong growth rate (4.6% in 2010). For more you can look up in the CIA Fact Book (https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/is.html), in my mind the most reliable data source. But not all is well in the Israeli economy, and the recent uprising is not completely unexpected.
In many countries where uprising took place recently, the reasons were different. People of all classes, but mainly the lower class took it to the street because they wanted a part in the decision making process of their countries. The feeling that they have no vote in what will be done with their tax money is intolerable. But Israel is a democratic country, with elections every four years or so. But is it? Many, myself included, feel that the democratic process in Israel has been broken for many years. Let me explain.
Israel’s democracy is built on a party system. Political parties provide a philosophy, a direction, a promise. The people who like it vote for the party, the people who don’t vote for another. When the election is concluded, the votes are counted, and divided into the 120 seats of the Knesset (the Israeli parliament). Each party gets seats relative to their vote count. There’s an entry bar, below which the parties who haven’t won enough votes, don’t go in. These votes are then split between the parties who did surpass the entry bar relative to the vote counts it has won. So far so good. Correct? Categorically and unequivocally no. It’s broken. Here’s why. In order to form a government, the leader of the party who won the most seats in the Knesset becomes a candidate premier (Prime Minister) and needs to form a coalition. One could claim that if the leading party would have won sixty seats (slightly less or slightly more is similarly reasonable) it would work just fine. As other parties would want to take part in the coalition, the price of including a party in the coalition is relatively low. But in the last few decades, the leading party takes roughly thirty seats on average. Which means that it has to buy other parties into the coalition. Buying in the sense of paying for programs the parties wants funded for their voters.
What happens as a result is a coalition that’s formed from a large number of political parties, some not even close in their ideology, but all united in getting as much as they can out of the relationship. The government is usually heavy (thirty ministers, some with no office or responsibility is not uncommon), with ridiculous spending patterns, and an ideology that is simply stated – undefined.
Take for example the current coalition.
Likud (right wing) 27 seats
Israel Our Home (extreme right wing) 15 seats
Labor (left wing) 13
Shas (ultra-orthodox, mainly Jews of North African descent) 11
The Jewish Home (ultra-orthodox, mainly Jews of Eastern European descent)
The government has a ridiculous number of ministers (30, PM included), and its philosophy and direction is, well, isn’t.
Basically, everyone wants to satisfy their voters. In this system, there are two ways to satisfy the party and the voters. Jobs and programs. Let’s take two examples. In order to satisfy “Israel Our Home”, the government has to be settler friendly. In other words the government has to build or expand settlements, although everyone knows the results are similar to placing a red sheet in front of a raging bull, with no intent of taking cover when the bull arrives. In order to satisfy Shas, the government must be ultra-orthodox friendly. In other words make sure that the “Independent” Education System (to which the ultra-orthodox send the children) is exempt of teaching anything which will give their children a shred of a chance to be included in the workforce in the future, that eighteen year old ultra-orthodox young men continue to be exempt of military service, and that those who choose to never work in their life, while bringing many children to the world, get a monthly stipend with which they can somehow survive.
These are just two examples,, but they are very costly. Another costly aspect of the Israeli election and ruling system is that the Israeli people have become more and more right wing. As a result, peace with the Palestinians and other countries in the region is slipping away faster and faster, which is in turn taking a heavy toll on security costs.
It’s easy to see that not a lot is left for other programs like helping young couples to survive, higher education (the Israeli education system is deteriorating over the years), the health system (basically falling apart), tax relief (Israel is possibly the most taxed worldwide), and other social programs. The results are overwhelmingly disturbing. Couples with higher education, will and drive to work, with reasonably paying jobs, cannot pay for rent, they can’t dream of buying a house, they find it hard to pay for childcare, commute. As it turns out, it becomes harder and harder to survive.
And here’s the most amazing twist. Israelis make a living in NIS – New Israeli Shekel. A reasonably strong currency ($1.0 = roughly NIS 3.4). The taxes are high, and there’s little help on mortgage. Israeli pay an arm and a leg for food, gasoline, housing, transportation. Consumer goods are so heavily taxed, that a family car, say Mazda 3, costs close to twice than the same car costs in China or in the US. Gasoline costs are double than China, and triple the US. Then there are Jews who live outside Israel. Given what the European Jews went through in the middle of the 20th century- the Holocaust, many think it’s not a bad idea to have a home away from home. They invest in Israeli real estate. Simply put, they take money (in Euro mostly) which they have earned in European countries, where the tax is much lower, where many services free or low cost – like education (from toddlers to doctors), health, housing, and they use this money to buy houses in Israel. They present an unfair competition to Israeli young couples who are heavily taxed, and have to pay lots for basics: food, childcare, education, transportation. This alone drives the real estate prices up so much, that many find themselves in a place where they cannot afford wither to rent and most certainly to buy a home.
In addition, the government, welcoming this external investment, grants these people with some benefits that are not given to Israelis.
So between special populations taken care of their coalition sponsors, and foreign citizens with money earned in different currency and less taxed, the local Israelis have lost this competition. A miserable loss to them, a disastrous loss for Israel. Most recently, tens of thousands took it to the streets to demonstrate and protest.
And I haven’t mentioned the doctors who are on strike for over three months. Interns in the medical profession in the country simply cannot make a living. To stay afloat they must work shifts that will make each and every one of us cringe. And the teachers, and many other working people are just saying: we want to work, pay taxes, and do our military service. But we also want to make a decent living. President John F. Kennedy once said: “Ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country”. In general, I agree. But the country is not altogether exempt of worrying about the well being of its citizens.
What’s interesting is that what used to be the territory of the lower class – low income, low education – is now mainstream and middle class. People with education and drive find it impossible to lead a life in Israel.
I must admit. What made me write this post is a single sentence in today’s www.ynet.co.il. It said clearly that the country must be rejoicing that this protest finally was taken to the streets. Simply stated, the article said, this is the last step before scores of Israeli take their children, their belongings, and go elsewhere, as many already did. This isn’t just a threat. Some of you probably know many Israelis around the world. Many Israelis are highly educated, creative and resourceful. Many are welcome in other countries. Many don’t leave only because of ideology. Zionism, or call it whatever you like. But when it comes to feeding your children, ladies and gentlemen, Zionism gets to ride in the back.

Watching the development of the terrorist attack in Oslo, Norway, brought me back to the exploding buses years in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. To the suicide bombings in the markets of Israel. The memories are not pleasant, to say the least. Innocent lives taken by a coward is unfortunately not a very rare thing. I felt a strong urge to send a message of solidarity to the families of the victims, get well to the injured. I also wanted to voice some concerns.
For one, I simply don’t understand the media anymore. The immediate suspects are Muslims. The media was looking for the possible explanation, and they found one: Norway apparently sent a small number of troops to Iraq, and indeed was mentioned in some threats published by Al-Qaeda. It was like a sigh of relief that the attacker was an extreme Christian fundamentalist. As for me I simply don’t get it. What difference does it make? A heinous crime was committed. Nothing can explain this attack.
But there’s another point. This is by all means a very strange event. Let me explain. Ninety people can be killed at once by a powerful bomb. It happened before. It is extremely unusual for a shooter to kill ninety people over thirty minutes. In shooting incidents, the shooter generally loses the element of surprise as soon as he takes the first shot. Once the first shot has been taken, a few things happen. People run for cover, call for help, take action if they can. Usually, a person or more at the scene waits for an opportunity and eliminates the threat. In countries where guns are legal and common, it happens moments after the first shots. In others, authorities arrive at the scene in minutes. It’s extremely unusual where none of the above takes place.
I don’t want to speculate at all. All I am trying to say is that even in a peaceful place like Norway (I think few places are more peaceful than Norway), security is necessary. Particularly when it comes to children. The presence of responsible, possibly armed adults is not a shameful thing. It’s necessary. Regardless of the source of the threat: whether it is Muslim, Extreme Right, or just the Lunatic Next Door who happens to have a gun. For a man to be shooting for thirty minutes and innocent children, changing magazines, stopping only when he runs out of ammunition, is unacceptable.
If I were a Norwegian parent whose child has been in harm’s way this weekend, I would ask for an official investigation into this event. I would want answers. I wouldn’t be interested in who committed this crime and what his motives were. I would be very interested how it was possible for him to systematically shoot children for thirty minutes with nobody to stop him.

We really wanted to go see Harry Potter this morning. After all, we have been following his story for many years. The young wizard thrilled us while reading thousands of pages, watching days and nights of film, seeing monsters, death eaters, whatever. We felt that even though we are kind of tired of this never ending story, we must see the conclusion. Quite truthfully, when I read the first book, I couldn’t put it down. By the fourth book, I couldn’t hold it anymore, it was too heavy. Same with the movies. The first one was amazing. The last one (7a I believe it was) I have a confession to make. I slept through some of it. Anyway, since we’re in Beijing, and since we can’t read Chinese very well, we just went to the theater and hoped that Harry Potter would be playing, that it would play around the time we were there, that they would have the English speaking version (I’m not watching dubbed films period), and that tickets will be available.
We were out of luck. It wasn’t playing. The only English speaking film playing was Transformers II. Good enough. We bought tickets, which was a pleasant experience, the attendant spoke English, and went on our way for lunch. Not just any lunch. Hot Pot.
Before I describe the lunch, let me talk a little bit about the venue. Let me start by saying I lived in the US many years, most of the in New Jersey – shopping mall state. I’ve lived in California, and Arizona. I’ve lived most of my life in Israel, which is also a conspicuous consumption country, with shopping malls almost everywhere, big ones too. In any case, the New Yansha Mall, or the “Golden Resources Mall” as it states in really big letters on the front, is the absolutely positively, undoubtedly, the biggest shopping mall I have ever seen in my entire life. In any country, any continent, anywhere. It’s huge. It’s colossal, gargantuan, well, monstrous. But fun. We, the Hayardenys, love this place.
Back to Hot Pot lunch.
A famous Hot Pot chain restaurant is Xiabu Xiabu. We have dined there many times between 2006-2008. There are many of them around Beijing. Hot Pot is a great dining experience. You’re seated at a table with a pot in the middle. You can order a hot (spicy) pot, or a plain pot, or half and half. We always order half and half. I love the spicy half, the kids like the plain part, and Dorit uses both. Then you order from the menu. We’ll get to that in a minute. To our great disappointment, Xiabu Xiabu was completely full, with a long line of waiting customers. In addition, most of the seats were next to the counter, and while I don’t particularly mind it when dining on my own or with Dorit, I do like a table when we all go together. Next door, however, and I mean literally next door, with a bordering glass, there’s another Hot Pot place called Zhen Pin Wang Hot Pot restaurant. There was one table available, and we grabbed it without even thinking about it. Turned out to be a good move. With one small caveat. They have no English menu. Nor do they have a pictorial one. It’s a totally and wholly Chinese menu. We were hungry at this point in time, and were ready to order. We were looking at the menu, which in turn was looking back at us with no assistance whatsoever. We do know some food words in Chinese (Ji Rou, Niu Rou, Doufu), and we even were able to order rice (Mifan) and potatoes (Tudou). But that was it. Dorit tried to mimic Lotus Roots, which is something we shall undoubtedly laugh about for years.
Fortunately, there was a very nice family right behind where we were sitting who offered their help. They offered their six year old boy who helped us order mushrooms, vegetables, and noodles. Between our order and his, we had enough food for three families. I mean it was embarrassing. Food just kept arriving at the table, to the point that they had to place a trolley next to our table just to contain it. And then we started cooking. Chicken and beef, noodles and vegetables, mushrooms and tofu, all went in to the pot and came it minutes later tasting delicious. Dipping it in the sesame based dip with small pieces of parsley, made it all just heavenly.
In short, lunch was excellent, hot (both spicy and at high temperature), and delicious. The check came in at RMB 140, roughly $22. I recommend. We all do.
Then off we went to the movies. Let me state that when we bought the tickets, all I knew was that we were going to see Transformers II, in English. How surprised can you get at a movie theater? Plenty.
We walked in to what’s best described as Business Class Movie Theater. Large, black electrically reclining seats, with what seems to me (an avid movie goer) as the best sound system I have ever heard in my entire life. This was by far the best movie watching experience I ever had in over forty years of going to the movies. (Yes, I did watch Chitty Chitty Bang Bang when it first came out in 1968). I was not expecting to have it today. I did not expect to have it in Beijing. But like other things, China in general, and Beijing in particular, just keeps surprising me. Favorably.
When the movie was over, we headed over to the Dairy Queen and had a simple plain, vanilla ice cream cone. The children said it’s the best they had. I concurred.
After that we went back to the tumble dry outside. Just so you understand, in the last two weeks, living in Beijing feels like a chicken must feel inside the soup while it’s being boiled on the stove. It’s hot, in the nineties, humid, murky. I have not seen a shred of blue sky in a couple of weeks. Luckily we found a taxi relatively quickly, and spent the next hour driving about 10 miles in heavy traffic.
For all Beijingers: the Golden Resources Shopping Mall (New Yansha), the Stellar Cinema Multiplex, Xiabu Xiabu and Zhen Pin Wang Hot Pot Restaurant, even the Dairy Queen, all get an outstanding grade. A wonderful family day.
5/F, Golden Resources Shopping Center, 1 Yuanda Lu, Haidian District
海淀区远大路1号金源购买物中心5层
Enjoy!

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